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India orders district-level crop contingency plans as El Nino risk grows

After a below-normal monsoon forecast, India has told states to activate district contingency plans, strengthen advisories and prepare seed and irrigation responses.

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India's agriculture ministry has told central and state agencies to activate district-level contingency plans immediately after the India Meteorological Department forecast a below-normal southwest monsoon and warned that El Nino conditions could develop later in the rainy season. The Hindu BusinessLine reports that the government is moving from broad planning language to operational responses tailored to local farming conditions.

Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan chaired a high-level meeting at Krishi Bhawan and laid out the priorities. They include timely advisories for farmers, availability of certified drought-tolerant and short-duration seeds, moisture conservation measures and scientifically managed use of reservoir water. He also stressed that district contingency plans should not remain mere paperwork.

Field crops as India prepares for El Nino risks

States were asked to prepare clear responses for rainfall gaps lasting two to four weeks. Those responses include re-sowing strategies, life-saving irrigation and alternative crops. The timing is critical because sowing of kharif crops has already begun in some areas that received early rain, meaning weather shocks would need to be met quickly rather than after the fact.

According to the report, the IMD expects the southwest monsoon to be around 90 percent of the long-term average and says its arrival is expected on June 4. At the same time, the agency has indicated that El Nino conditions could emerge later in the season. For Indian agriculture, that is a sensitive warning because rainfall distribution matters as much as headline totals when crop establishment and water access are at stake.

Officials at the meeting said national seed stocks exceed current requirements and that an emergency seed reserve has been created for both kharif and rabi seasons. Chouhan said certified high-quality seeds must be available so that short-duration varieties can be deployed quickly for re-sowing if weather conditions turn adverse.

The ministry also wants stronger digital and call-centre advisories, closer monitoring of pest and disease risks linked to weather fluctuations and continuous review of state preparedness. Rural development agencies were asked to move immediately on soil-moisture conservation through farm ponds and local water-retention work. In practice, India is trying to connect forecasting, seed logistics, irrigation planning and field advisories into one coordinated system to reduce the potential crop damage from El Nino.

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